Brexit in 10 Days?20160613134124
Brexit in 10 Days?
A new poll from the Bruges Group gives the Leave camp a 19 point lead over Remain. According to the poll, 52% of respondents supported a Brexit, while...
Valeant: Position Crowding, Intrinsic Value – an Update20160608130525
Valeant: Position Crowding, Intrinsic Value – an Update
In January, we wrote a post on Position Crowding and Valeant – the poster child in 2015 for a crowded hedge fund name. One of the points we made was ...
Brexit in 22 Days?20160601165828
Brexit in 22 Days?
A new Guardian poll reveals a 52 – 48 split among Britons in favor of leaving the EU. The alarming result represents a sharp decline in support for th...
Chasing Fund Returns is a Very, Very Bad Idea20160509183323
Chasing Fund Returns is a Very, Very Bad Idea
How does a fund earn over $500 million in management fees yet lose over $1 billion for investors since inception? No, sorry. It’s not a hedge fund. ...
Why Apple is NOT a Top Ten Holding of 93% of Hedge Funds20160308151554
Why Apple is NOT a Top Ten Holding of 93% of Hedge Funds
To infinity and beyond Buzz Lightyear A recent report by Goldman Sachs describes Apple (AAPL) as a “Very Important Position” (top ten holding) ...
Is Warren Buffett a Value Investor?20160229081145
Is Warren Buffett a Value Investor?
The best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return. Warr...
When a Client Asks, “What is Brexit?” Here’s Your Quick Guide20160225100755
When a Client Asks, “What is Brexit?” Here’s Your Quick Guide
As we discussed in a post on Market Psychology and the Investor Narrative, the markets get very volatile when a new, large and unfamiliar risk surface...
Market Pundits in 2016 – A Reality Check20160218134045
Market Pundits in 2016 – A Reality Check
Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it’s interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible...
How Smart is Smart Beta?20160216090029
How Smart is Smart Beta?
If smart beta is smart, is my beta dumb? First, a definition: smart beta strategies are (allegedly) better ways of getting exposure to equities, bond...
The Commodity Head Fake20160209104553
The Commodity Head Fake
Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future. Niels Bohr In the annals of modern portfolio theory, commodities deserve an award f...